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What happens if Trump refuses to physically vacate the White House on Inauguration Day?

US President Donald Trump looks on after delivering an update on "Operation Warp Speed" in the Rose Garden of the White House in Washington, DC on November 13, 2020.
Photo by MANDEL NGAN/AFP via Getty Images

It's official, former Vice-President Joe Biden has been elected the 46th President of the United States of America. This week, the Electoral College voted in favor of Biden, cementing his future in the White House for the next four years. That is, if all goes well. For those of us who believe in democracy, Biden's confirmation comes as no surprise. He did, after all, surpass the 270 electoral votes needed to secure the U.S. presidency.

However, certain individuals had difficulty with the news, creating a broad and embarrassing spectacle of themselves. And by certain individuals, I mean our current president. For weeks, Donald Trump alluded to false allegations of potential voter fraud, urging state officials to recount all votes. Normally, when a new president is elected, the former accepts the decision and concedes respectfully. But if we've learned anything within the last four years, it's that Donald Trump is far from normal.

Not only does he continue to believe he won the 2020 election, Trump is now refusing to vacate the White House on Inauguration Day. For some reason, the image of a child throwing a tantrum in a grocery store because his mom refused to buy him a candy bar invades my mind. I guess the circumstances are somewhat similar.

If this weren't incredibly embarrassing to our nation, it would be comical. Considering how humiliating it is that our current president can't accept defeat, well, there's nothing humorous about it. But the question on everyone's mind is: what will actually happen if Trump chooses not to vacate the White House premises come January 20th? The answer is very simple.

READ: Why Trump choosing not to concede after Biden's win is a disgrace to our democracy

Why Trump choosing not to concede after Biden's win is a disgrace to our democracyconversations.indy100.com

Presidential power often passes from one candidate to another seamlessly. However, America has not experienced a president quite like Donald J Trump.

Considering the White House officially gave Biden permission to begin the transition process, and the Electoral College finalized their decision, there's really only one thing that can happen. If Trump refuses to vacate, Secret Service have no choice but to intervene and physically remove him from the property.

"As we said on July 19th, the American people will decide this election," Biden's team mention in a statement back in November. "And the United States government is perfectly capable of escorting trespassers out of the White House."

This has never occurred within the United States. However, should Trump hold true to his word, there is a plan in place. The 20th Amendment clearly states the term of each president ends precisely at noon on January 20. Once Biden is given his inauguration address and sworn in, he will have authority to enact the Secret Service to order the physical removal of Trump from the White House.

So essentially, the men once tasked with protecting Trump, will have no choice but to evict him. If that's not poetic justice, I don't know what is.

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Women founders continue to come up against common challenges and biases

Written by Kelly Devine, Division President UK & Ireland, Mastercard

Starting a business may have historically been perceived as a man’s game, but this couldn’t be further from reality. Research shows women are actually more likely than men to actively choose to start their own business – often motivated by the desire to be their own boss or to have a better work-life balance and spend more time with their family.

The recently published Mastercard Index of Women Entrepreneurship 2021 found that in the category of 'Aspiration Driven Entrepreneurship’ – capturing those who actively choose to start their own business – women in the UK surpass men: 60% vs 56%. And Mastercard research from February 2022 found 10% of female business owners started their business in the past two years compared to 6% of men – meaning women were 67% more likely to have started a business during the pandemic.

Yet, there are common challenges that women founders continue to come up against - not least the gender imbalance in the household and long-held biases which are still prevalent.

In the UK, women are almost three times more likely to be balancing care and home commitments than men, and this was exacerbated during the pandemic as the additional barriers of school closures and lockdowns meant that the care time of dependents rose significantly on a day-to-day level for women. In addition, women were less likely to have access to a home office, greatly impacting the work they were able to accomplish when working from home was the only option.

It's also widely known that female business owners are still more likely to struggle to access funding for their business ideas. According to Dealroom, all-women founding teams received just 1.4% of the €23.7bn invested into UK start-ups in 2021, while all-male leadership teams have taken almost 90% of the available capital.

Without financial support, and when juggling significant time pressures both at home and at work, how can women grow their companies and #BreaktheBias (as this year’s International Women’s Day termed it)? What tools or support can save them time and money, and give them the headspace they need to focus on building their business?

With female owned businesses collectively estimating revenue growth of £120 billion over the next five years, solving this problem is bigger than supporting women – it’s about supporting the national economy.

Using tech to level the playing field

There are clearly societal issues at play that need to be resolved. But when we look at the rise in technology businesses during the pandemic, we can plainly see an alternative source of support critical for business growth: digital tools.

A third of female business owners say new technologies will be crucial to the success of their business in the future and one in five say it is the most important thing for business growth.

With new technology comes new ways to pay, create, and work. And yet there are barriers that prevent business owners accessing this technology. Women are significantly more likely to say they want to use more digital tools but don’t know what is best for their business and also more concerned about the security of digital tools.

When technology is adopted by businesses – whether using online accounting solutions or messenger services for communicating with staff – it saves them time, allows them to maintain and grow their customer base, and ultimately increases cost savings and profit.

By drastically improving the training and support that is available to women-owned business to access and utilise technology we will allow these businesses to grow and succeed. And we know there is demand for it.

Research done by the IFC and Dalberg shows that female entrepreneurs are more likely to invest time and money in business development. This includes product development, customer base expansion, and digital tools and training and there are plenty of services available offering this type of support – many of them for free.

One such programme is Strive UK – an initiative of the Mastercard Center for Inclusive Growth – which aims to reach 650,000 micro and small business owners across the UK and empower them with the tools they need to thrive in the digital economy through free guidance, helpful tools and one-to-one mentoring.

Working together with small business experts – Enterprise Nation, Be the Business and Digital Boost – we hope to ensure hundreds of thousands of UK female business owners have the tools they need to succeed and reach their ambitious goals. Because this ambition remains strong in the UK, with female business owners largely optimistic about the future despite the multitude of challenges they are facing. Four in ten say they will grow their business in the next five years – compared to only a third of male business owners – and they’re also 35% less likely than men to say they plan to downsize or close the business.

But if we do not empower female entrepreneurs to access the tools and technology they need to grow, there is a risk this optimism could be misplaced. Support programmes that provide business owners with guidance and mentorship can help ensure this isn’t the case, allowing female entrepreneurs to not only survive but thrive in the months and years ahead.